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Personal profile

Personal Statement

I graduated from the University of Strathclyde in 1992 with BSc (Hons) degree in Mathematical Sciences. I then went on to do a PhD at Strathclyde, in Mathematics and Statistics. I was awarded my PhD in 1996 and my thesis was entitled: Listeria monocytogenes in Silage: A mathematical modelling approach. Following my PhD, I started my career as a Risk Assessor with the Veterinary Laboratories Agency (VLA). The VLA was an Executive Agency of the Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) in the United Kingdom Government. It is now named the Animal and Plant Health Agency (APHA). I am still employed with APHA on a part-time basis. During my time at VLA/APHA I have developed and managed many veterinary and public health risk assessment and mathematical modelling projects relating to, for example, bovine tuberculosis, bovine brucellosis, foot and mouth diseease, bluetongue, camplyobacter, salmonella and rabies. I have worked as an expert for the World Health Organisation, The food and Agricultural Organisation of the United Nations, the European Food Safety Authority  and European Animal Health Office. I have also run numerous risk assessment courses in, for example, the United States, China, Thailand and Europe.


In 2001, I returned to the University of Strathclyde as a Lecturer in Statistics whilst maintaining my research links with VLA/APHA through a joint appointment. My research continues to focus on animal and veterinary public health epidemiology and risk assessment. My current interests are in the areas of exotic disease introduction and anthelmintic resistance.

Education/Academic qualification

Doctor of Philosophy, University of Strathclyde

Bachelor of Science, University of Strathclyde


  • Statistics
  • Risk Assessment
  • Veterinary Epidemiology

Fingerprint Fingerprint is based on mining the text of the person's scientific documents to create an index of weighted terms, which defines the key subjects of each individual researcher.

Salmonella Medicine & Life Sciences
European Union Medicine & Life Sciences
Livestock Medicine & Life Sciences
quantitative risk assessment Agriculture & Biology
Pets Medicine & Life Sciences
Risk assessment Engineering & Materials Science
Scrapie Medicine & Life Sciences
Infection Medicine & Life Sciences

Network Recent external collaboration on country level. Dive into details by clicking on the dots.

Projects 2004 2018

Research Output 1995 2018

A generic framework for spatial quantitative risk assessments of infectious diseases: lumpy skin disease case study

Taylor, R. A., Berriman, A. DC., Gale, P., Kelly, L. A. & Snary, E. L., 13 Aug 2018, In : Transboundary and Emerging Diseases.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Lumpy Skin Disease
lumpy skin disease
quantitative risk assessment
infectious diseases
Communicable Diseases

Assessing the probability of introduction and transmission of lumpy skin disease virus within the United Kingdom

Horigan, V., Beard, P. M., Roberts, H., Adkin, A., Gale, P., Batten, C. A. & Kelly, L., 19 May 2018, In : Microbial Risk Analysis.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Lumpy skin disease virus
European Union


Data mining for exotic pathogen spread

Author: Ross, D., 1 Apr 2014

Supervisor: Kelly, L. (Supervisor) & Young, D. (Supervisor)

Student thesis: Doctoral Thesis

Modelling the sustainability of overwintering Mnemiopsis leidyi populations in the North Sea

Author: Gardiner, I., 1 Apr 2016

Supervisor: Kelly, L. (Supervisor) & Speirs, D. (Supervisor)

Student thesis: Master's Thesis


Preventive Medicine
Veterinary Medicine

Activities 2008 2018

Infectious Diseases Workshops – Raising Attainment in Numeracy, STEM Outreach

Kelly, L. (Contributor), Devlin, J. H. (Contributor), Love, J. (Contributor), Cunningham, M. R. (Contributor)
Apr 2018Jun 2018

Activity: OtherTypes of Public engagement and outreach - Media article or participation

Royal Veterinary College, England

Kelly, L. (Visiting lecturer)
7 Dec 2017

Activity: Visiting an external institutionVisiting an external academic institution


Changes in Government policy on rabies and reductions in cost and inconvenience for travellers with pets

Louise Kelly (Participant)

Impact: Impact - for External PortalPolicy and legislation, Economic and commerce