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Personal profile

Personal Statement

I graduated from the University of Strathclyde in 1992 with BSc (Hons) degree in Mathematical Sciences. I then went on to do a PhD at Strathclyde, in Mathematics and Statistics. I was awarded my PhD in 1996 and my thesis was entitled: Listeria monocytogenes in Silage: A mathematical modelling approach. Following my PhD, I started my career as a Risk Assessor with the Veterinary Laboratories Agency (VLA). The VLA was an Executive Agency of the Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) in the United Kingdom Government. It is now named the Animal and Plant Health Agency (APHA). I am still employed with APHA on a part-time basis. During my time at VLA/APHA I have developed and managed many veterinary and public health risk assessment and mathematical modelling projects relating to, for example, bovine tuberculosis, bovine brucellosis, foot and mouth diseease, bluetongue, camplyobacter, salmonella and rabies. I have worked as an expert for the World Health Organisation, The food and Agricultural Organisation of the United Nations, the European Food Safety Authority  and European Animal Health Office. I have also run numerous risk assessment courses in, for example, the United States, China, Thailand and Europe.


In 2001, I returned to the University of Strathclyde as a Lecturer in Statistics whilst maintaining my research links with VLA/APHA through a joint appointment. My research continues to mainly focus on animal and veterinary public health epidemiology and risk assessment although I am now also involved in research into Widening Access into Higher Education, particularly relating to school entry requirements.

Education/Academic qualification




  • Statistics
  • Risk Assessment
  • Veterinary Epidemiology

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics where Louise Kelly is active. These topic labels come from the works of this person. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

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Salmonella Medicine & Life Sciences
European Union Medicine & Life Sciences
Livestock Medicine & Life Sciences
quantitative risk assessment Agriculture & Biology
Pets Medicine & Life Sciences
Risk assessment Engineering & Materials Science
Scrapie Medicine & Life Sciences
Infection Medicine & Life Sciences

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Projects 2004 2018

Research Output 1995 2019

1 Citation (Scopus)

A generic framework for spatial quantitative risk assessments of infectious diseases: lumpy skin disease case study

Taylor, R. A., Berriman, A. DC., Gale, P., Kelly, L. A. & Snary, E. L., 31 Jan 2019, In : Transboundary and Emerging Diseases. 66, 1, p. 131-143 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
Lumpy Skin Disease
lumpy skin disease
quantitative risk assessment
infectious diseases
Communicable Diseases

A qualitative risk assessment of cleansing and disinfection requirements after an avian influenza outbreak in commercial poultry

Horigan, V., Gale, P., Adkin, A., Brown, I., Clark, J. & Kelly, L., 2 Sep 2019, 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

qualitative risk assessment
Influenza in Birds
avian influenza


Data mining for exotic pathogen spread

Author: Ross, D., 1 Apr 2014

Supervisor: Kelly, L. (Supervisor) & Young, D. (Supervisor)

Student thesis: Doctoral Thesis

Modelling the sustainability of overwintering Mnemiopsis leidyi populations in the North Sea

Author: Gardiner, I., 1 Apr 2016

Supervisor: Kelly, L. (Supervisor) & Speirs, D. (Supervisor)

Student thesis: Master's Thesis


Preventive Medicine
Veterinary Medicine

Activities 2008 2019


Louise Kelly (Recipient), Johnathan Love (Contributor), Kate Pyper (Contributor)
11 Jun 201913 Jun 2019

Activity: Other activity typesTypes of Public engagement and outreach - Media article or participation

Day of Science at Strathclyde

Louise Kelly (Recipient), Jon Hugh Devlin (Recipient)
9 May 2019

Activity: Other activity typesTypes of Public engagement and outreach - Media article or participation


Changes in Government policy on rabies and reductions in cost and inconvenience for travellers with pets

Louise Kelly (Participant)

Impact: Impact - for External PortalPolicy and legislation, Economic and commerce