John Quigley

Prof

  • United Kingdom

Accepting PhD Students

19952020
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Research Output 1995 2018

2018

A probabilistic design reuse index

Vasantha, G., Sherlock, A., Corney, J. & Quigley, J., 26 Aug 2018. 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Open Access
File
Probability distributions
Industry
1 Citation (Scopus)

Quantifying the benefit of structural health monitoring: what if the manager is not the owner?

Bolognani, D., Verzobio, A., Tonelli, D., Cappello, C., Glisic, B., Zonta, D. & Quigley, J., 27 Aug 2018, In : Structural Health Monitoring.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Structural health monitoring
Appetite
Insurance Benefits
Decision Making
Managers
Amplification
Diagram
Communication
Health
Framework
Specifications
Uncertainty
Linear Programming
Terrorism
Statistical Models
9 Citations (Scopus)

Supplier quality improvement: the value of information under uncertainty

Quigley, J., Walls, L., Demirel, G., McCarthy, B. & Parsa, M., 1 Feb 2018, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 264, 3, p. 932-947 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Value of Information
Quality Improvement
Epistemic Uncertainty
Uncertainty
Critical Threshold
19 Citations (Scopus)
Open Access
File
Network management
Bayesian networks
Supply chains
Fault tree analysis
Expected utility
2017

A methodology for constructing subjective probability distributions with data

Quigley, J. & Walls, L., 19 Jun 2017, (Accepted/In press) Elicitation: The Science and Art of Structuring Judgement. Dias, L., Morton, A. & Quigley, J. (eds.). New York: Springer

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Probability distribution
Subjective probability
Methodology
Lottery
Empirical data

Elicitation: The Science and Art of Structuring Judgement

Dias, L. C. (ed.), Morton, A. (ed.) & Quigley, J. (ed.), 18 Dec 2017, New York: Springer.

Research output: Book/ReportBook

Elicitation in the classical model

Quigley, J., Colson, A., Aspinall, W. & Cooke, R. M., 19 Jun 2017, (Accepted/In press) Elicitation: The Science and Art of Structuring Judgement. Dias, L., Morton, A. & Quigley, J. (eds.). New York: Springer

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Value capture
Informativeness
Pooling
Uncertainty
Analysts

Emulation of utility functions over a set of permutations: sequencing reliability growth tasks

Wilson, K. J., Henderson, D. A. & Quigley, J., 12 Sep 2017, In : Technometrics. 28 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Reliability Growth
Emulation
Expected Utility
Utility Function
Sequencing

Introduction [Elicitation : state of the art and science]

Dias, L. C., Morton, A. & Quigley, J., 18 Dec 2017, Elicitation: The Science and Art of Structuring Judgement. Dias, L., Morton, A. & Quigley, J. (eds.). New York: Springer, Vol. 261. p. 1-14 14 p. (International Series in Operations Research & Management Science; vol. 261).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Open Access
File
News
Economic well-being
Disposal
Holidays
Water
3 Citations (Scopus)

Learning from mixed OR method practice: the NINES case study

Howick, S., Ackermann, F., Walls, L., Quigley, J. & Houghton, T., 1 Jun 2017, In : Omega. 69, p. 70-81 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Mixed methods
Energy
Evaluation
Quantification
Risk identification

Pandemic pandemonium: Canada's volatile response to H1N1

Quigley, K., MacDonald, C. & Quigley, J., 30 Nov 2017, Too Critical To Fail: How Canada Manages Threats to Critical Infastructure. Quigley, K., Bisset, B. & Mills, B. (eds.). p. 205-224 20 p.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

2016
7 Citations (Scopus)

Allocation of tasks for reliability growth using multi-attribute utility

Wilson, K. J. & Quigley, J., 16 Nov 2016, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 255, 1, p. 259-271 33 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Reliability Growth
Risk Aversion
Project Management
Attribute
Risk Management
3 Citations (Scopus)

An economic impact metric for evaluating wave height forecasters for offshore wind maintenance access

Catterson, V. M., McMillan, D., Dinwoodie, I., Revie, M., Dowell, J., Quigley, J. & Wilson, K., 11 Jan 2016, In : Wind Energy. 19, 2, p. 199-212

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Economics
Offshore wind farms
Costs
Industry
Decision making

Cost effectiveness and manageability based prioritisation of supply chain risk mitigation strategies

Qazi, A. J., Quigley, J. & Dickson, A., 11 Jul 2016, (Accepted/In press) Supply Chain Risk Management: Advanced Tools, Models, and Developments. Springer

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Cost-effectiveness
Prioritization
Risk mitigation
Supply chain risk
Managers
22 Citations (Scopus)

Exploring dependency based probabilistic supply chain risk measures for prioritising interdependent risks and strategies

Qazi, A., Quigley, J., Dickson, A. & Önsel Ekici, Ş., 20 Oct 2016, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 259, 1, p. 189–204 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Risk Measures
Supply Chain
Supply chains
Risk Management
Risk management
1 Citation (Scopus)

Pre-existing condition: taking media coverage into account when preparing for H1N1

Quigley, K., MacDonald, C. & Quigley, J., 20 Jun 2016, In : Canadian Public Administration.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
coverage
threat
decision making
event
lack
41 Citations (Scopus)
Open Access
File
Risk management
modeling
Bayesian networks
Construction industry
risk management
1 Citation (Scopus)

Risk analysis of supply: comparative performance and short-term prediction

Walls, L., Quigley, J., Parsa, M. & Comrie, E., 13 Sep 2016, Risk, Reliability and Safety: Innovating Theory and Practice: Proceedings of ESREL 2016 (Glasgow, Scotland, 25-29 September 2016). Walls, L., Revie, M. & Bedford, T. (eds.). London

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

Open Access
File
Risk analysis
Prediction
Supply risk
Suppliers
Systems engineering

Training Course on Steering an Expert Knowledge Elicitation: Final Report

Hart, A., O'Hagan, T., Quigley, J. & Bolger, F., 24 May 2016, John Wiley & Sons Inc. 235 p. (EFSA Supporting Publications)

Research output: Book/ReportCommissioned report

Open Access
File
Knowledge elicitation
Expert knowledge
Staff
Expertise
Food safety
2015
2 Citations (Scopus)

A new modelling approach of evaluating preventive and reactive strategies for mitigating supply chain risks

Qazi, A., Quigley, J., Dickson, A. & Gaudenzi, B., 20 Oct 2015, Computational Logistics: 6th International Conference, ICCL 2015, Delft, The Netherlands, September 23-25, 2015, Proceedings. Corman, F., Voß, S. & Negenborn, R. R. (eds.). Springer-Verlag, p. 569-585 17 p. (Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics); vol. 9335).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

Open Access
File
Supply Chain
Supply chains
Bayesian networks
Modeling
Bayesian Belief Networks

A novel application of system survival signature in supply chain risk management

Qazi, A., Quigley, J. & Dickson, A., 5 Mar 2015, Proceedings of the 2015 Internati onal Conference on Industrial Engin eering and Operations Management Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UAE), March 3 – 5, 2015 . 10 p.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

Open Access
File
Supply chain management
Risk management
Supply chains
Gaging
Outsourcing
1 Citation (Scopus)

Cost and benefit analysis of supplier risk mitigation in an aerospace Supply chain

Qazi, A., Quigley, J., Dickson, A., Gaudenzi, B. & Ekici, Ş. Ö., 1 Nov 2015, Proceedings of 2015 International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Systems Management (IESM). Framinan, J. M., Gonzalez, P. P. & Artiba, A. (eds.). Piscataway, NJ.: IEEE, p. 850-857 8 p.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

Open Access
File
Supply chains
Costs
Risk management
Benefit analysis
Cost analysis
3 Citations (Scopus)

Evaluation of control strategies for managing supply chain risks using Bayesian belief networks

Qazi, A., Quigley, J., Dickson, A., Gaudenzi, B. & Önsel Ekici, S., 23 Oct 2015, Proceedings of 2015 International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Systems Management (IESM). Piscataway, NJ.: IEEE, p. 1146-1154 9 p.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

Open Access
File
Bayesian networks
Supply chains
Risk management
Supply chain management
Risk assessment
1 Citation (Scopus)

Modelling project complexity driven risk paths in new product development

Qazi, A., Quigley, J., Dickson, A. & Kirytopoulos, K., 23 Oct 2015, International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Systems Management (IESM 2015). Piscataway, NJ, p. 938-945 8 p.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

Open Access
File
Modeling
New product development
Project complexity
Supply chain risk
Simulation

Sequencing reliability growth tasks using multiattribute utility functions

Wilson, K. & Quigley, J., 2015. 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Open Access
File
Aerospace industry
Computer hardware
Software engineering
Computer systems
Testing
10 Citations (Scopus)

Supply chain risk management: systematic literature review and a conceptual framework for capturing interdependencies between risks

Qazi, A., Quigley, J. & Dickson, A., 23 Apr 2015, Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management. p. 1-13 13 p. 7093701

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

Open Access
File
Supply chain management
Risk management
Supply risk management
Literature review
Interdependencies
2014

A geometric test for the analysis of contingency tables

Quigley, J. & Wilson, K., 1 Sep 2014, Safety and Reliability: Methodology and Applications. Nowakowski, T., Młyńczak, M., Jodejko-Pietruczuk, A. & Werbińska-Wojciechowska, S. (eds.). p. 1895-1901 7 p.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

Open Access
File
Contingency table
Sample size
Modeling
Exact test
Small sample

A novel framework for quantification of supply chain risks

Qazi, A., Quigley, J. & Dickson, A., 31 Jul 2014, 4th Student Conference on Operational Research: OpenAccess Series in Informatics (OASIcs). Del Granado, P. C., Joyce-Moniz, M. & Ravizza, S. (eds.). Dagstuhl, Germany, Vol. 37. p. 1-15 15 p.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

Open Access
File
Quantification
Supply chain risk
Game theory
Bayesian networks
Supply risk management

Empirical Bayes inference with nonlinear homogenizations and correlated intensity functions: use in asset degradation modelling

Blair, G., Quigley, J. & Walls, L., 2014, Safety and Reliability: Methodology and Applications. Nowakowski, T., Młyńczak, M., Jodejko-Pietruczuk, A. & Werbińska-Wojciechowska, S. (eds.). London, p. 171-179 9 p.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

Intensity Function
Empirical Bayes
Homogenization
Degradation
Empirical Bayes Method

Interdependency modeling of supply chain risks incorporating game theoretic risks

Qazi, A. J., Quigley, J. & Dickson, A., 15 Oct 2014, 10th Doctoral Workshop on Purchasing and Supply Management and IPSERA International Nodes Meeting: XXV Annual Scientific Meeting. Bologna, 15 p.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

Open Access
File
Interdependencies
Modeling
Supply chain risk
Quantification
Supply chain

Mixing methods – lessons from the field

Howick, S., Ackermann, F., Houghton, T., Quigley, J. & Walls, L., 2014, (Unpublished).

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Mixed methods
Modeling
Limited attention
Operations research
Evaluation

Quantification of supply chain risks: development and application of a novel risk management framework

Qazi, A. J., Quigley, J. & Dickson, A., Sep 2014. 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Open Access
File
Risk management
Supply chains
Supply chain management
Game theory
Bayesian networks
1 Citation (Scopus)

Reaction to 'An approach to perform expert elicitation for engineering design risk analysis: methodology and experimental results'

Ganguly, T., Wilson, K., Quigley, J., Cooke, R., Babuscia, A. & Cheung, K-M., 2014, In : Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A . 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalLetter

Open Access
File
Elicitation
Risk Analysis
Risk analysis
Engineering Design
expert

Risk assessment of progressive casino games

Quigley, J. & Revie, M., 2014, In : The Journal of Gambling Business and Economics. 8, 1, p. 1-23 23 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Casino
Risk assessment
Discrete-time
Operator
Decay
42 Citations (Scopus)
Open Access
File
Elicitation
Process Modeling
Managers
Uncertainty
Interaction
2013
4 Citations (Scopus)

A Bayes linear Bayes method for estimation of correlated event rates

Quigley, J., Wilson, K., Walls, L. & Bedford, T., Dec 2013, In : Risk Analysis. 33, 12, p. 2209–2224 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

File
Bayes Theorem
Motivation
Linear Models
Method of moments
Supply chains
1 Citation (Scopus)

Bayes linear Bayes graphical models in the design of optimal test strategies

Wilson, K., Quigley, J., Bedford, T. & Walls, L., Nov 2013, In : International Journal of Performability Engineering. 9, 6, p. 715-728 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Systems engineering
Bayesian networks
Managers
Aging of materials
Graphical models

Bayes linear graphical models in the design of optimal test strategies

Wilson, K., Quigley, J., Bedford, T. & Walls, L., Jul 2013, (Unpublished).

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Graphical models
Resources
Optimal test
Inference
Efficacy
Complex projects
Risk management
Distribution network
3 Citations (Scopus)

Estimating risk when zero events have been observed

Quigley, J., Revie, M. & Dawson, J., 2013, In : BMJ Quality and Safety. 22, 12, p. 1042-1043 2 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

File
Telemetry
Heart Arrest
Myocardial Infarction
Adverse events
Admission

Managing complex projects for industry: developing a new approach to risk management

Howick, S., Ackermann, F., Walls, L., Quigley, J. & Houghton, T., Jul 2013, (Unpublished).

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Risk management
Industry
Decision trees
Complex projects

Modelling systemic risks to inform a repowering decision

Walls, L., Quigley, J., Houghton, T., Howick, S. & Ackermann, F., 30 Sep 2013, (Unpublished) p. 2219–2226. 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

File
Systemic risk
Modeling
Underdevelopment
Heritage
Empirical Bayes
1 Citation (Scopus)
File
print media
Disasters
god
natural disaster
coverage
2012

Bayes linear adjustments to improve empirical bayes inference for correlated event rates

Quigley, J., Wilson, K., Bedford, T. & Walls, L., Jun 2012. 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Inference
Empirical Bayes
Homogeneity
Method of moments
Bayesian analysis

Managing projects in an uncertain world: engaging stakeholders, and building a systemic view of risk

Ackermann, F., Howick, S., Houghton, T., Quigley, J. & Walls, L., 4 Sep 2012, (Unpublished).

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Stakeholders
Managing projects
Managers
Consultants
Cost overrun

Managing projects in an uncertain world: engaging stakeholders, and building a systemic view of risk

Ackermann, F., Howick, S., Quigley, J., Walls, L. & Houghton, T., 5 Dec 2012, (Unpublished).

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

21 Citations (Scopus)

Risk analysis of damaged ships: a data-driven Bayesian approach

Subin, K., Das, P., Quigley, J. & Hirdaris, S., 2012, In : Ships and Offshore Structures. p. 1-15 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Risk analysis
Accidents
Ships
Bayesian networks
Decision theory
2011

Eliciting subjective probability distributions from groups

Daneshkhah, A., Revie, M., Bedford, T., Walls, L. & Quigley, J., Feb 2011, Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science. Cochran, J. J., Cox, Jr., L. A., Keskinocak, P., Cole Smith, J. C. S. & Kharoufeh, J. P. (eds.). John Wiley & Sons Inc.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Probability distribution
Subjective probability
Expert judgment
Expertise
Expert knowledge