Jethro Browell

I am interested in statistical uncertainty and the role it plays in decision making, particularly in the energy sector. Many real world processes are stochastic in nature and in order to make optimal decisions one must approach the problem from a probabilistic perspective. My research to date has focused on energy forecasting, including wind, solar, demand and price, and the role that forecasts play in electricity market participation and power system operation. I have worked extensively on spatio-temporal aspects of renewable energy forecasting, and in addition I have worked on wind and wave forecasting for offshore maintenance/installation.

I have broad expertise in energy forecating methodology, GB electricity market arrangments, and the use of probabilistic information in decision-making. I have particular expertise in time-series modelling for very-short-term energy forecasting, and short-term forecasting based on numerical weather prediction.