Projects per year
Personal profile
Personal Statement
My research focuses on the psychology of human decision-making. In particular, I examine decisions made under conditions of risk and uncertainty in organisational/institutional contexts including the legal, defence and security sectors. I also have an interest in applying and improving techniques for strategic foresight such as the Delphi method and scenario planning, as well as the interface between such soft OR methods and quantitative risk modelling.
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Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
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Strengthening search and rescue in Arctic Canada and Scotland with data collection, analysis and modelling tools
Belton, I. (Co-investigator)
ESRC (Economic and Social Research Council)
1/04/23 → 31/03/28
Project: Research - Internally Allocated
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EPSRC IAA: Enhancing Emergency Response through Systemic Risk Modelling
Belton, I. (Co-investigator)
EPSRC (Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council)
1/04/22 → 31/03/27
Project: Research - Internally Allocated
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What do I not know? How does AI affect 'critical' thinking?
Weaver, B., Gillon, F., Belton, I. & Heron, G., 31 May 2026, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Criminology and Criminal Justice. p. 1-23 23 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile5 Downloads (Pure) -
Adapting scenario planning to create an expectation for surprises: going beyond probability and plausibility in risk assessment
Derbyshire, J., Dhami, M., Belton, I., Onkal, D. & Aven, T., 1 Nov 2025, In: Risk Analysis. 45, 11, p. 3737-3757 21 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile2 Link opens in a new tab Citations (Scopus)4 Downloads (Pure)
Prizes
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SBS Teaching, Knowledge Exchange and Research Awards: Impactful Early Career Researcher
Belton, I. (Recipient), 28 May 2026
Prize: Prize (including medals and awards)
Activities
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Cognitive bias in forensic science
Belton, I. (Speaker)
2 Jun 2026Activity: Talk or Presentation › Invited talk
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Bayesian Networks – From Problem Structuring to Probabilistic Decision Support
Quigley, J. (Speaker), Belton, I. (Speaker), Rudman, A. J. (Speaker) & Peters, J. (Speaker)
18 May 2025Activity: Talk or Presentation › Oral presentation