George Wright

Search results

• 2023

  Virtuous opinion change in structured groups

  Bolger, F., Rowe, G., Hamlin, I., Belton, I., Crawford, M., Sissons, A., Taylor Browne Lūka, C., Vasilichi, A. & Wright, G., 3 Aug 2023, In: Judgment and Decision Making. 18, 31 p., e25.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Opinion 100%
  • Groups 100%
  • Change 100%
  • Legal Decision 100%
  • Research 75%
  18 Downloads (Pure)
• 2022

  The value of mass-produced Covid-19 scenarios: a quality evaluation of development processes and scenario content

  Crawford, M. M. & Wright, G., 31 Oct 2022, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 183, 9 p., 121937.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Evaluation 100%
  • Narrative 20%
  • Conversation 20%
  • Affected Community 20%
  • Generic Application 20%
  4 Citations (Scopus)

  46 Downloads (Pure)

• A critical evaluation of 42, large-scale, science and technology foresight Delphi surveys

  Belton, I., Cuhls, K. & Wright, G., 30 Jun 2022, In: Futures & Foresight Science. 4, 2, e2118.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Evaluation 100%
  • Technology 100%
  • Surveys 100%
  • Survey 100%
  • Critical Evaluation 100%
  5 Citations (Scopus)

  25 Downloads (Pure)
• 2021

  Structured groups make more accurate veracity judgements than individuals

  Hamlin, I., Bolger, F., Vasilichi, A., Crawford, M., Sissons, A., Taylor Browne Luka, C. & Wright, G., 30 Nov 2021, In: Applied Cognitive Psychology. 35, 6, p. 1600-1607 8 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Judgement 100%
  • Groups 100%
  • Deception 55%
  • Research 22%
  1 Citation (Scopus)

  19 Downloads (Pure)

• Delphi with feedback of rationales: how large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?

  Belton, I., Wright, G., Sissons, A., Bolger, F., Crawford, M., Hamlin, I., Taylor Browne Luka, C. & Vasilichi, A., Sept 2021, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 170, 120897.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Application 100%
  • Group Members 100%
  • Motivation 100%
  • Information Overload 100%
  • Task Involvement 100%
  15 Citations (Scopus)

  13 Downloads (Pure)
• 2020

  Scenario planning and foresight: advancing theory and improving practice

  Wright, G., O'Brien, F., Meadows, M., Tapinos, E. & Pyper, N., 31 Oct 2020, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 159, 120220.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Practice 100%
  • Activity 100%
  • Scenario Planning 100%
  • Theory 100%
  • Scenarios 80%
  10 Citations (Scopus)

  105 Downloads (Pure)

• A reflection on the mass production of scenarios in response to COVID-19

  Cairns, G. & Wright, G., 23 Sept 2020, In: Futures & Foresight Science. 2, 3-4, p. 1-5 5 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • COVID-19 100%
  • Process Development 25%
  • Introspection 25%
  • Pandemic 25%
  6 Citations (Scopus)

  31 Downloads (Pure)

• Does the facilitator of a scenario development activity need substantive knowledge of the focal topic?

  Wright, G. & Cairns, G., 30 Jun 2020, In: Futures & Foresight Science. 2, 2, e29.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

  Open Access

  File

  • Scenarios 100%
  • Activity 100%
  • Scenario Development 100%
  • Intervention 100%
  • Development Activity 100%
  6 Citations (Scopus)

  28 Downloads (Pure)
• 2019

  Improving the practical application of the Delphi method in group-based judgment: a six-step prescription for a well-founded and defensible process

  Belton, I., MacDonald, A., Wright, G. & Hamlin, I., 31 Oct 2019, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 147, p. 72-82 11 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Decision Making 100%
  • Defensible Process 100%
  • Software 50%
  • Taxonomy 50%
  • Feedback System 50%
  236 Citations (Scopus)

  57 Downloads (Pure)

• Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems: pitfalls and potential

  Wright, G., Cairns, G., O'Brien, F. A. & Goodwin, P., 1 Oct 2019, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 278, 1, p. 3-19 17 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Scenarios 100%
  • Support 100%
  • Decision Making 100%
  • Analysis 100%
  • Problem 100%
  52 Citations (Scopus)

  132 Downloads (Pure)

• Making scenario interventions matter: exploring issues of power and rationality

  Cairns, G. & Wright, G., 1 Mar 2019, In: Futures & Foresight Science. 1, 1, e10.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Decision-Making Process 100%
  • Team Member 50%
  • Groups 50%
  15 Citations (Scopus)

  34 Downloads (Pure)
• 2017

  Enhancing horizon scanning by utilizing pre-developed scenarios: analysis of current practice and specification of a process improvement to aid the identification of important 'weak signals'

  Rowe, E., Wright, G. & Derbyshire, J., 1 Dec 2017, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 125, p. 224-235 11 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Process Improvement 100%
  • Specifications 100%
  • Identification 100%
  • Scenario Analysis 100%
  • Scenario Planning 100%
  38 Citations (Scopus)

  62 Downloads (Pure)

• 'Branching scenarios' seeking articulated action for regional regeneration – a case study of limited success

  Cairns, G., Wright, G., Fairbrother, P. & Phillips, R., 1 Nov 2017, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 124, p. 189-202 14 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Research 100%
  • Case Study 100%
  • Conceptual Framework 100%
  • Goals 100%
  • Social Inquiry 100%
  24 Citations (Scopus)

  51 Downloads (Pure)

• Improving scenario methodology - theory and practice: Introduction to the special issue

  Wright, G., Meadows, M., Tapinos, E., O'Brien, F. & Pyper, N., 1 Nov 2017, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 124, p. 1-5 5 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Scenarios 100%
  • Practice 100%
  • Introduction 100%
  • Theory 100%
  • Methodology 100%
  12 Citations (Scopus)

  123 Downloads (Pure)

• Use of expert knowledge to anticipate the future: issues, analysis and directions

  Bolger, F. & Wright, G., 31 Mar 2017, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 33, 1, p. 230-243 14 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Expert Knowledge 100%
  • Knowledge Acquisition 83%
  • Judgement 50%
  • Expert Judgment 33%
  • Risk Assessment 33%
  36 Citations (Scopus)

  87 Downloads (Pure)

• Augmenting the Intuitive Logics scenario planning method for a more comprehensive analysis of causation

  Derbyshire, J. & Wright, G., 1 Jan 2017, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 33, 1, p. 254-266 12 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Planning Method 100%
  • Standards 100%
  • Expert Knowledge 100%
  • Development Approach 100%
  • Knowledge Acquisition 100%
  63 Citations (Scopus)

  70 Downloads (Pure)
• 2016

  A decision-analysis-based framework for analyzing stakeholder behaviour in scenario planning

  Cairns, G., Goodwin, P. & Wright, G., 16 Mar 2016, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 249, 3, p. 1050-1062 13 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Decision Analysis 100%
  • Scenario Planning 100%
  • Behavior 100%
  • Stakeholders 71%
  • Identity 28%
  36 Citations (Scopus)

  174 Downloads (Pure)

• The critical role of history in scenario thinking: augmenting causal analysis within the intuitive logics scenario development methodology

  Bradfield, R., Derbyshire, J. & Wright, G., 1 Mar 2016, In: Futures. 77, p. 56-66 11 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Methodology 100%
  • Causal Analysis 100%
  • Scenario Development 100%
  • Thinking 100%
  • Scenario Planning 33%
  49 Citations (Scopus)

  186 Downloads (Pure)

• Promoting articulated action from diverse stakeholders in response to public policy scenarios: a case analysis of the use of 'scenario improvisation' method

  Cairns, G., Wright, G. & Fairbrother, P., 1 Feb 2016, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 103, p. 97-108 12 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Stakeholders 100%
  • Application 12%
  • Programs 12%
  • Availability 12%
  • Teams 12%
  32 Citations (Scopus)

  65 Downloads (Pure)
• 2015

  Teaching scenario analysis: an action learning pedagogy

  Bradfield, R., Cairns, G. & Wright, G., 1 Nov 2015, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 100, p. 44-52 9 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Scenarios 100%
  • Teaching 100%
  • Educational Sciences 100%
  • Analysis 100%
  • Action Learning 100%
  25 Citations (Scopus)

  213 Downloads (Pure)
• 2014

  Preparing for the future: development of an 'antifragile' methodology that complements scenario planning by omitting causation

  Derbyshire, J. & Wright, G., 28 Feb 2014, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 82, p. 215-225 11 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Economic and Social Development 100%
  • Methodology 100%
  • Scenario Planning 100%
  • Causation 100%
  • Future Development 100%
  81 Citations (Scopus)

  191 Downloads (Pure)
• 2013

  Does the intuitive logics method – and its recent enhancements – produce “effective” scenarios?

  Wright, G., Bradfield, R. & Cairns, G., May 2013, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 80, 4, p. 631-642 10 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • Logic 100%
  • Scenarios 100%
  • Literature 60%
  • Strategy Development 40%
  • Methodology 40%
  150 Citations (Scopus)

• Scenario methodology: New developments in theory and practise: introduction to the special issue

  Wright, G., Cairns, G. & Bradfield, R., May 2013, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 80, 4, p. 561–565 5 p., TFS-17690.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

  File

  • Practice 100%
  • Economic and Social Development 100%
  • Methodology 100%
  • Introduction 100%
  • Theory 100%
  65 Citations (Scopus)

  565 Downloads (Pure)

• Scenario method and stakeholder engagement: critical reflections on a climate change scenarios case study

  Cairns, G., Ahmed, I., Mullett, J. & Wright, G., Jan 2013, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 80, 1, p. 1-10 10 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • Scenarios 100%
  • Case Studies 100%
  • Climate Change 100%
  • Climate Change Scenario 100%
  • Stakeholders 100%
  66 Citations (Scopus)
• 2012

  Strategic and organisational determinants of sophistication in deployed sales force automation systems within three industry sectors in the UK

  Donaldson, W. G., Lee, J-H. & Wright, G., 2012, In: Journal of Marketing Management . 28, 11-12, p. 1305-1330 16 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • United Kingdom 100%
  • Industry 100%
  • Orientation 100%
  • Information 66%
  • Impact 33%
  2 Citations (Scopus)
• 2011

  Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgemental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgemental forecasters?

  Bolger, F., Stranieri, A., Wright, G. & Yearwood, J., Nov 2011, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 78, 9, p. 1671-1680 10 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • Opinion 100%
  • Groups 100%
  • Consensus 100%
  • Process 100%
  • Change 66%
  52 Citations (Scopus)

• Improving the Delphi process: lessons from social psychological research

  Bolger, F. & Wright, G., Nov 2011, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 78, 9, p. 1500-1513 14 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • Research 100%
  • Judgement 100%
  • Biases 50%
  • Reasoning 50%
  • Evaluation 50%
  148 Citations (Scopus)

• The Delphi technique: past, present and future prospects - introduction to the special issue

  Rowe, G. & Wright, G., Nov 2011, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 78, 9, p. 1487-1490 4 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • Introduction 100%
  • Delphi 100%
  • Time 33%
  • Work 33%
  287 Citations (Scopus)

• Group-based judgmental forecasting: an integration of extent knowledge and the development of priorities for a new research agenda

  Wright, G. & Rowe, G., 2011, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 27, 1, p. 1-13 14 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • Economic and Social Development 100%
  • Forecasting 100%
  • Research 100%
  • Groups 100%
  • Integration 100%
  29 Citations (Scopus)
• 2010

  Problematizing international business futures through a 'critical scenario method'

  Sliwa, M., Cairns, G. & Wright, G., Nov 2010, In: Futures. 42, 9, p. 971-979 9 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • International Business 100%
  • Scenarios 100%
  • Future Business 100%
  • Scenario Method 100%
  • Approach 42%
  34 Citations (Scopus)

• The limits of forecasting methods in anticipating rare events

  Goodwin, P. & Wright, G., Mar 2010, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 77, 3, p. 355-368 14 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • Event 100%
  • Forecasting Method 100%
  • Forecasting 100%
  • Events 100%
  • Scenario Planning 57%
  145 Citations (Scopus)

• Non-receptive organizational contexts and scenario planning interventions: a demonstration of inertia in the strategic decision-making of a CEO despite strong pressure for a change

  Wright, G. & O'Keefe, M., Feb 2010, In: Futures. 42, 1, p. 26-41 16 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • Strategic Decision Making 100%
  • Demonstration 100%
  • Scenario Planning 100%
  • Change 100%
  • Intervention 100%
  19 Citations (Scopus)
• 2009

  Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: enhancing the scenario method

  Wright, G. & Goodwin, P., Oct 2009, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 25, 4, p. 813-825 13 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • Scenarios 100%
  • Decision Making 100%
  • Planning 100%
  • Predictability 100%
  • Scenario Planning 100%
  177 Citations (Scopus)

• Teaching scenario planning: lessons from practice in academe and business

  Wright, G., Cairns, G. & Goodwin, P., Apr 2009, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 194, 1, p. 323-335 13 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • Practice 100%
  • Teaching 100%
  • Remedies 100%
  • Enterprises 100%
  • Scenario Planning 100%
  54 Citations (Scopus)
• 2008

  Sales force automation systems: an analysis of factors underpinning the sophistication of deployed systems in the UK financial service industry

  Wright, G., Fletcher, K., Donaldson, B. & Lee, J-H., Nov 2008, In: Industrial Marketing Management. 37, 8, p. 992-1004 13 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  • Automation System 100%
  • Financial Service Industry 100%
  • Service 50%
  • Contexts 50%
  8 Citations (Scopus)