• United Kingdom

Accepting PhD Students

PhD projects

scenario thinking behavioural decision making

20082019

Research output per year

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Personal profile

Personal Statement

George Wright PhD, ScD. 

I previously held academic positions at Leeds University Business School, London Business School, Strathclyde Graduate Business School (where I was Deputy and Acting Director), Durham Business School (where I was Head of the Department of Business and Management) and Warwick Business School (where I was Associate Dean for Executive Education and a member of the Senior Management Team). I was awarded a higher doctorate, Doctor of Science, by Warwick University in 2013. 

I teach "Exploring the International Business Environment" on the Full-Time MBA Programme. This course is part of the Strategy spine of the Strathcyde MBA - which was rated as the fifth highest quality in the world in the Financial Times'  January 25th 2016 ratings of Global MBA offerings. I was presented with a Teaching Excellence award for my teaching at a Strathclyde Students' Association ceremony in May 2016.

I have undertaken a wide range of consultancy and workshop-based assignments in scenario thinking and decision analysis. I have also designed and delivered management development workshops on decision making, scenario thinking, and strategic analysis, for a variety of public and private sector organizations across the world. 

I worked at directorate level within the UK Government Department of Health with scenario thinking and Delphi applications. For a video of this work see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DDoFKtW1S5w. Recently, I worked with Bayer CropScience on food supply issues using scenarios. Another scenario projects, funded by the Australian Research Council, utilised a new scenario method - developed with George Cairns - to aid senior members of the regional government, union leaders, business leaders and industrialists develop policy for regeneration priorities within Tasmania.  Recent projects provided training/advice on use of the Delphi technique to the European Union Agency for Fundamental Rights and advice on developing energy transition scenarios to SSE. I am currently working with Wood on scenarios to do with the energy transition.

My books include "Scenario Thinking: Preparing your Organization for the Future in an Unpredictable World" (Palgrave Macmillan, 2018, co-authored), "Scenario Thinking: Practical Approaches to the Future" (Palgrave Macmillan, 2011, co-authored), "Decision Analysis for Management Judgment" (5th Edition, Wiley, 2014, co-authored), "Strategic Decision making: A best practice blueprint" (Wiley, 2001), and "The Sixth Sense: Accelerating Organizational Learning with Scenarios" (Wiley, 2002, co-authored). 

I am a part-time professor at Strathclyde Business School and a member of the adjunct faculty at Mannheim Business School.  I am external examiner for the MSc in Management Science/Decision Science/ at the London School of Economics. 

Research interests 

I research into the role and quality of management judgment in decision making and in anticipating the future. Are such judgments well-made or are there pitfalls and flaws? In fact, sometimes judgment is flawed and decision aiding techniques - such as scenario thinking and decision analysis can be utilised to improve judgment and decision making. Recently, I led a US National Intelligence Agency project on group-based judgment (January, 2017 - December, 2018) that brought an income of £1.1 million to Strathclyde Business School.

I am the founding Editor-in-Chief of Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. Several recent Nobel prizewinners in Economic Sciences have published within the pages of JBDM and the 2017 Nobel prizewinner, Richard Thaler, published his eighth most-cited journal article in JBDM. I am also a Senior Editor of the journal Decision Support Systems and an Associate Editor of two forecasting Journals: International Journal of Forecasting and Journal of Forecasting. I am Editor-in-Chief of the new-start Wiley journal, Futures & Foresight Science, that was first published in March, 2019.

My publications have appeared in a range of US-based management journals - including Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Management Science, Risk Analysis and the Strategic Management Journal. In Europe, I have published in journals such as Journal of Management Studies, Organization Studies, and European Journal of Operational Research. 

I have edited special issues of Futures, International Journal of Forecasting, and Technological Forecasting and Social Change on the topics of Delphi methodology, scenario methodology, and group-based judgmental forecasting. 

My publications have accumulated about 15,000 citations in the Google Scholar database and my h-index is 52.

 

Research Interests

I research in the area of scenario thinking and behavioural decision making. Some of my work is laboratory-based and some within organisations.

Expertise & Capabilities

Working with many public and private-sector organisations in order to aid managers to think about the future and make decisions in the present.

Industrial Relevance

I can provide practical help in aiding top management teams to think strategically about the future.

Teaching Interests

I teach scenario thinking within the "Exploring the International Business Envionment" MBA course component.

I also teach a course entitled "Improving management decision making" - which is a mix of the psychology of decision making and decision analysis techniques

Academic / Professional qualifications

BSc Psychology (London University)

MPhil Psychology (Brunel University)

PhD Psychology (Brunel Unversity)

DSc (Warwick University)

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Projects

scenarios for SSE

Wright, G.

SCOTTISH & SOUTHERN ELECTRICITY PLC

Project: Knowledge Exchange (Services/Consultancy)

BARD: Bayesian ARgumentation via Delphi

Belton, I., Bolger, F., Crawford, M. M., Hamlin, I., MacDonald, A., Rowe, G., Sissons, A., Taylor Browne Lūka, C., Vasilichi, A. & Wright, G.

1/04/1730/11/18

Project: Research

Research Output

Open Access
File
  • 37 Citations (Scopus)
    125 Downloads (Pure)

    Augmenting the Intuitive Logics scenario planning method for a more comprehensive analysis of causation

    Derbyshire, J. & Wright, G., 1 Jan 2017, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 33, 1, p. 254-266 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    Open Access
    File
  • 16 Citations (Scopus)
    27 Downloads (Pure)

    Activities

    External Examiner, MSc Decision Sciences, LSE

    George Wright (Examiner)
    2018

    Activity: Examination typesExamination

    Scenario Planning and Foresight 2018

    George Wright (Participant)
    2018

    Activity: Participating in or organising an event typesOrganiser of major conference