Projects per year
Personal profile
Personal Statement
In order to achieve a step-change in the way the design, development, and maintains complex structures and systems it is necessary to effectively characterize and quantify the unavoidable uncertainties. This allows to take riks-informed decisions, design robust and resilient systems able to cope with the current challenges.
The quantification of uncertainty and the design of efficient and resilient systems capable of recovering from catastrophe is a requirement of numerous industries. Often researchers and practitioners in different disciplines use different languages to describe essentially similar techniques. There is a need for effective strategies and technologies that respond to the current and future needs of our society, and build resilience across a wide range of industrial sectors.
By adopting virtual engineering frameworks such as digital twinning, and exploiting the capability of efficient and reliable computational strategies supported by machine learning and artificial intelligence we can now understand and predict the behavior of complex real-world problems, effectively design maintain, and managing them, and reducing the overall risks involved.
I am working on computational science and engineering for more than 20 years. I started developing stochastic models for the assessment of the disposal of radioactive waste. Then, I have developed efficient simulation techniques for high fidelity analysis and reliability analysis of computationally expensive models and complex systems with applications in different sectors including Civil, Nuclear, and Aerospace. I have a deep understanding and knowledge of the current challenges (and opportunities) in computation and simulation techniques and the need for verified and reliable tools.
I am working in a truly multidisciplinary environment in collaboration with members from all the university faculties and strong link with world-leading scholars across the world. I am the Chair of the Technical Committee on Simulation for Safety and Reliability Analysis of the European Safety and Reliability Association (ESRA) and Chair of the Technical Committee for the 2019 European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL) conference. I am working actively with UK industry including Wood, Airbus, ARUP, EdF UK, AWE, CCFE and National Nuclear Laboratory.
In order to translate the recent development to practicians and industry, we are continuously developing a suite of computational tools: \href{https://cossan.co.uk}{COSSAN software},
Research Interests
My primary research interests focus on the general area of risk analysis, uncertainty modelling and quantification, sensitivity analysis, nuclear safety, reliability and availability of complex systems. In particular, the focus is on the development of verified and efficient stochastic computational methods able to model different representation of the uncertainty and providing trustful reliability analysis and risk assessment.
The numerical implementations have resulted in the development of an open-source general-purpose software package for uncertainty quantification and stochastic analysis.
Expertise & Capabilities
- Uncertainty quantification
- Bayesian and Credal Networks
- Resilience assessment of complex infrastructures
- Nuclear safety
- Probabilistic risk assessment
- Human reliability
Industrial Relevance
- Nuclear
- Aerospace
- Transport
- Digital design
Teaching Interests
I am currently teaching:
- Probability and statistics
- Structural reliability
- Monte Carlo methods
- Bayesian approaches
- FMEA, Fault Tree, Event Tree
Education/Academic qualification
Doctor of Engineering, Monte Carlo simulation of radionuclide transport in groundwater, Politecnico di Milano
Award Date: 25 May 2006
Keywords
- Risk Analysis
- Uncertainty
- Resilience Engineering
- Simulation
- Machine Learning
- System Modelling and Simulation
- Reliability
- Human Factors
- Digital Twins
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- 1 Similar Profiles
Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
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UKAEA Studentship - Uncertainty quantification for fusion: exploring novel techniques to quantify and propagate uncertainty in nuclear analysis through the design lifecycle
Patelli, E. (Principal Investigator)
1/10/25 → 30/09/27
Project: Research - Studentship
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Resilient Digitalising Infrastructure (ReDI) SCDT
Walls, L. (Principal Investigator), Patelli, E. (Co-investigator), White, C. (Co-investigator), Irvine, J. (Co-investigator), Strens, F. (Co-investigator) & Anderson, H. (Administrator)
1/01/25 → 30/06/28
Project: Internally funded project
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Enhancing procedure quality: advanced language tools for identifying ambiguity and high-potential violation triggers
Johnson, K., Morais, C. & Patelli, E., 1 Dec 2025, In: Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 264, Pt. A, 16 p., 111308.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile1 Citation (Scopus)12 Downloads (Pure) -
On the computational complexity of the interval dependence problem in credal networks
de Angelis, M., Estrada-Lugo, H. D., Ferson, S. & Patelli, E., 13 Nov 2025, Digitalisation and Digital Transformation: First Research Twinning Conference, RTC-Digital 2023, Liverpool, UK, March 27–30, 2023, Proceedings. Potapov, I., Chumachenko, D., Proshkin, V., Shendryk, V., Berezko, O., McCafferty, J. & Konovalov, O. (eds.). 1 ed. Springer Nature Switzerland AG, p. 113–118 6 p. (Communications in Computer and Information Science).Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution book
Open AccessFile
Datasets
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Radionuclide Dispersion from a Small Modular Nuclear Reactor
Patelli, E. (Creator), University of Strathclyde, 1 Mar 2023
DOI: 10.15129/4cba2dd3-5230-45c3-afe3-bde415a564ec
Dataset
Prizes
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Best Paper Award in "Innovation in Smart Cities and Systems"
Filippi, G. (Recipient), Vasile, M. (Recipient), Patelli, E. (Recipient) & Fossati, M. (Recipient), 1 Sept 2022
Prize: Prize (including medals and awards)
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The NASA and DNV Challenge on Optimization under Uncertainty
Rocchetta, R. (Recipient), Nespoli, L. (Recipient), Medici, V. (Recipient), Chen, Y. (Recipient), De Angelis, M. (Recipient), Ochnio, D. (Recipient), Patelli, E. (Recipient) & Smith, E. (Recipient), 17 Jun 2025
Prize: Prize (including medals and awards)
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Activities
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Strategic Themes - EPSRC (Critical Mass) - IES Workshop
Kay, T. (Organiser), Kelly, N. (Participant), Ivaturi, A. (Participant), Oterkus, E. (Participant), Oterkus, S. (Participant), Tapinos, E. (Participant), Costola, D. (Participant), Bellingham, R. (Participant), Mariotti, D. (Participant), SARKER, S. (Participant), Henderson, K. (Participant), Gangasa Walvekar, R. (Participant), Patelli, E. (Participant), Burnside, N. (Participant) & Flett, G. H. (Participant)
7 Feb 2025Activity: Presenting or Organising an Event › Conference, workshop, seminar or course
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EPSRC Scoping Worskhop (Critical mass)
Zhao, J. (Participant), Ivaturi, A. (Participant), Costola, D. (Participant), Odon, V. (Participant), Gunbeyaz, S. A. (Participant), Mariotti, D. (Participant), Grealy, M. (Participant), Brightman, E. (Participant), Lau, K. H. A. (Participant), Landeg, D. (Participant), MacLeod, C. N. (Participant), Tapinos, E. (Participant), Espinoza, A. (Participant), Stankovic, L. (Participant), Zhang, X. (Participant), Moshfeghi, Y. (Participant), Patelli, E. (Participant), Luo, X. (Participant), Gonzalez-Longo, C. (Participant), Gangasa Walvekar, R. (Participant), Yang, E. (Participant), Carroll, J. (Participant), Pierce, G. (Participant), Calvillo Munoz, C. (Participant), Connolly, P. (Participant), Kelly, N. (Participant), Ijomah, W. (Participant), Hunter, L. (Participant), Speirs, J. (Participant), Oterkus, E. (Participant), Bellingham, R. (Participant), Burnside, N. (Participant), Liu, B. (Participant), Macdonald, E. (Participant), Sprick, S. (Participant), Johnstone, C. (Participant), Dai, D. (Participant), Werkmeister, A. (Participant), Marrocco, T. (Participant), Oterkus, S. (Participant), Owens, S. R. (Participant), Robertson, S. (Participant), Turan, O. (Participant), Johnston, K. (Participant), Norheim, J. (Participant), Huq, M. (Participant), SARKER, S. (Participant), Donnelly, S. (Participant), Moqaddamerad, S. (Participant), McElroy, L. (Participant), Felfel, R. (Participant) & O'Hare, M. (Participant)
30 Jan 2025Activity: Presenting or Organising an Event › Conference, workshop, seminar or course